Vodafone 2008 Annual Report Download - page 107

Key assumptions used in the value in use calculations
The key assumptions used in determining the value in use are:
Assumption How determined
Budgeted EBITDA Budgeted EBITDA, calculated as adjusted operating profit before depreciation and amortisation, has been based on past
experience adjusted for the following:
•
voice and messaging revenue is expected to benefit from increased usage from new customers, the introduction of
new services and traffic moving from fixed networks to mobile networks, though these factors will be partially offset
by increased competitor activity, which may result in price declines, and the trend of falling termination rates;
•
non-messaging data revenue is expected to continue to grow strongly as the penetration of 3G enabled devices rises
and new products and services are introduced; and
•
margins are expected to be impacted by negative factors such as an increase in the cost of acquiring and retaining
customers in increasingly competitive markets and the expectation of further termination rate cuts by regulators
and by positive factors such as the efficiencies expected from the implementation of Group initiatives.
Budgeted capital expenditure The cash flow forecasts for capital expenditure are based on past experience and includes the ongoing capital expenditure
required to provide enhanced voice and data products and services and to meet the population coverage requirements
of certain of the Group’s licences. Capital expenditure includes cash outflows for the purchase of property, plant and
equipment and computer software.
Long term growth rate For mobile businesses where the first five years of the ten year management plan are used for the Group’s value
in use calculations, a long term growth rate into perpetuity has been determined as the lower of:
•
the nominal GDP rates for the country of operation; and
•
the long term compound annual growth rate in EBITDA in years six to ten of the management plan.
For mobile businesses where the full ten year management plans are used for the Group’s value in use calculations,
a long term growth rate into perpetuity has been determined as the lower of:
•
the nominal GDP rates for the country of operation; and
•
the compound annual growth rate in EBITDA in years nine to ten of the management plan.
For non-mobile businesses, no growth is expected beyond management’s plans for the initial five year period.
Pre-tax risk adjusted discount rate The discount rate applied to the cash flows of each of the Group’s operations is based on the risk free rate for ten year
bonds issued by the government in the respective market, adjusted for a risk premium to reflect both the increased risk
of investing in equities and the systematic risk of the specific Group operating company. In making this adjustment,
inputs required are the equity market risk premium (that is the required increased return required over and above a risk
free rate by an investor who is investing in the market as a whole) and the risk adjustment (“beta”) applied to reflect the
risk of the specific Group operating company relative to the market as a whole.
In determining the risk adjusted discount rate, management has applied an adjustment for the systematic risk to each
of the Group’s operations determined using an average of the betas of comparable listed mobile telecommunications
companies and, where available and appropriate, across a specific territory. Management has used a forward looking
equity market risk premium that takes into consideration both studies by independent economists, the average equity
market risk premium over the past ten years and the market risk premiums typically used by investment banks in
evaluating acquisition proposals.
Key assumptions for the Group’s operations in Germany and Italy are disclosed below under “Sensitivity to changes in assumptions”. During the year ended 31 March
2008, the most recent value in use calculation for Group’s operations in Spain was based on a pre-tax risk adjusted discount rate of 10.6% (2007: 9.7%) and long term
growth rate of 1.4% (2007: 3.2%).
Vodafone Group Plc Annual Report 2008 105