Allegheny Power 2015 Annual Report Download - page 19
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MANAGEMENT’SDISCUSSIONANDANALYSISOFREGISTRANTANDSUBSIDIARIES
ForwardLooking Statements: This reportincludes forwardlooking statements based on information currently available to
management.Suchstatementsaresubjecttocertainrisksanduncertainties.Thesestatementsincludedeclarationsregarding
management's intents, beliefs and current expectations.These statements typically contain, but are not limited to, the terms
“anticipate,”“potential,”“expect,”"forecast,""target,""will,""intend,"“believe,”"project,"“estimate,""plan"andsimilarwords.Forward
lookingstatementsinvolveestimates,assumptions,knownandunknownrisks,uncertaintiesandotherfactorsthatmaycauseactual
results,performanceorachievementstobemateriallydifferentfromanyfutureresults,performanceorachievementsexpressedor
impliedbysuchforwardlookingstatements,whichmayincludethefollowing:
•Thespeedandnatureofincreasedcompetitionintheelectricutilityindustry,ingeneral,andtheretailsalesmarketin
particular.
•TheabilitytoexperiencegrowthintheRegulatedDistributionandRegulatedTransmissionsegmentsandtosuccessfully
implementoursalesstrategyfortheCESsegment.
• Theaccomplishmentofourregulatoryandoperationalgoalsinconnectionwithourtransmissioninvestmentplan,including
butnotlimitedto,theproposedtransmissionassettransfertoMAIT,andtheeffectivenessofourstrategytoreflectamore
regulatedbusinessprofile.
•Changes in assumptions regarding economic conditions within our territories, assessment of the reliability of our
transmission system, or the availability of capital or other resources supporting identified transmission investment
opportunities.
•Theimpactoftheregulatoryprocessonthependingmattersatthefederallevelandinthevariousstatesinwhichwedo
businessincluding,butnotlimitedto,mattersrelatedtoratesandtheESPIVinOhio.
•TheimpactofthefederalregulatoryprocessonFERCregulatedentitiesandtransactions,inparticularFERCregulationof
wholesaleenergyandcapacitymarkets,includingPJMmarketsandFERCjurisdictionalwholesaletransactionsFERC
regulationofcostofservicerates,includingFERCOpinionNo.531’srevisedROEmethodologyforFERCjurisdictional
wholesale generation and transmission utility service and FERC’s compliance and enforcement activity, including
complianceandenforcementactivityrelatedtoNERC’smandatoryreliabilitystandards.
•TheuncertaintiesofvariouscostrecoveryandcostallocationissuesresultingfromATSI'srealignmentintoPJM.
•Economicorweatherconditionsaffectingfuturesalesandmarginssuchasapolarvortexorothersignificantweather
events,andallassociatedregulatoryeventsoractions.
•Changingenergy,capacityandcommoditymarketpricesincluding,butnotlimitedto,coal,naturalgasandoilprices,and
theiravailabilityandimpactonmarginsandassetvaluations.
•Thecontinuedabilityofourregulatedutilitiestorecovertheircosts.
• Costsbeinghigherthananticipatedandthesuccessofourpoliciestocontrolcostsandtomitigatelowenergy,capacityand
marketprices.
•Otherlegislativeandregulatorychanges,andrevisedenvironmentalrequirements,including,butnotlimitedto,theeffects
oftheEPA'sCPP,CCR,CSAPRandMATSprograms,includingourestimatedcostsofcompliance,CWAwastewater
effluentlimitationsforpowerplants,andCWA316(b)waterintakeregulation.
•Theuncertaintyofthetimingandamountsofthecapitalexpendituresthatmayariseinconnectionwithanylitigation,
includingNSRlitigation,orpotentialregulatoryinitiativesorrulemakings(includingthatsuchinitiativesorrulemakingscould
resultinourdecisiontodeactivateoridlecertaingeneratingunits).
•Theuncertaintiesassociatedwiththedeactivationofcertainolderregulatedandcompetitivefossilunits,includingthe
impactonvendorcommitmentsandasitrelatestothereliabilityofthetransmissiongrid,thetimingthereof.
•The impact of other future changes to the operational status or availability of our generating units and any capacity
performancechargesassociatedwithunitunavailability.
•Adverseregulatoryorlegaldecisionsandoutcomeswithrespecttoournuclearoperations(including,butnotlimitedtothe
revocationornonrenewalofnecessarylicenses,approvalsoroperatingpermitsbytheNRCorasaresultoftheincidentat
Japan'sFukushimaDaiichiNuclearPlant).
•IssuesarisingfromtheindicationsofcrackingintheshieldbuildingatDavisBesse.
•Therisksanduncertaintiesassociatedwithlitigation,arbitration,mediationandlikeproceedings,including,butnotlimited
to,anysuchproceedingsrelatedtovendorcommitments.
•Theimpactoflabordisruptionsbyourunionizedworkforce.
•Replacementpowercostsbeinghigherthananticipatedornotfullyhedged.
•Theabilitytocomplywithapplicablestateandfederalreliabilitystandardsandenergyefficiencyandpeakdemandreduction
mandates.
•Changesincustomers'demandforpower,including,butnotlimitedto,changesresultingfromtheimplementationofstate
andfederalenergyefficiencyandpeakdemandreductionmandates.
•Theabilitytoaccomplishorrealizeanticipatedbenefitsfromstrategicandfinancialgoals,including,butnotlimitedto,the
abilitytocontinuetoreducecostsandtosuccessfullyexecuteourfinancialplansdesignedtoimproveourcreditmetricsand
strengthenourbalancesheetthrough,amongotheractions,ourcashflowimprovementplanandotherproposedcapital
raisinginitiatives.
•Ourabilitytoimproveelectriccommoditymarginsandtheimpactof,amongotherfactors,theincreasedcostoffuelandfuel
transportationonsuchmargins.