DHL 2012 Annual Report Download - page 90

Download and view the complete annual report

Please find page 90 of the 2012 DHL annual report below. You can navigate through the pages in the report by either clicking on the pages listed below, or by using the keyword search tool below to find specific information within the annual report.

Page out of 230

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • 6
  • 7
  • 8
  • 9
  • 10
  • 11
  • 12
  • 13
  • 14
  • 15
  • 16
  • 17
  • 18
  • 19
  • 20
  • 21
  • 22
  • 23
  • 24
  • 25
  • 26
  • 27
  • 28
  • 29
  • 30
  • 31
  • 32
  • 33
  • 34
  • 35
  • 36
  • 37
  • 38
  • 39
  • 40
  • 41
  • 42
  • 43
  • 44
  • 45
  • 46
  • 47
  • 48
  • 49
  • 50
  • 51
  • 52
  • 53
  • 54
  • 55
  • 56
  • 57
  • 58
  • 59
  • 60
  • 61
  • 62
  • 63
  • 64
  • 65
  • 66
  • 67
  • 68
  • 69
  • 70
  • 71
  • 72
  • 73
  • 74
  • 75
  • 76
  • 77
  • 78
  • 79
  • 80
  • 81
  • 82
  • 83
  • 84
  • 85
  • 86
  • 87
  • 88
  • 89
  • 90
  • 91
  • 92
  • 93
  • 94
  • 95
  • 96
  • 97
  • 98
  • 99
  • 100
  • 101
  • 102
  • 103
  • 104
  • 105
  • 106
  • 107
  • 108
  • 109
  • 110
  • 111
  • 112
  • 113
  • 114
  • 115
  • 116
  • 117
  • 118
  • 119
  • 120
  • 121
  • 122
  • 123
  • 124
  • 125
  • 126
  • 127
  • 128
  • 129
  • 130
  • 131
  • 132
  • 133
  • 134
  • 135
  • 136
  • 137
  • 138
  • 139
  • 140
  • 141
  • 142
  • 143
  • 144
  • 145
  • 146
  • 147
  • 148
  • 149
  • 150
  • 151
  • 152
  • 153
  • 154
  • 155
  • 156
  • 157
  • 158
  • 159
  • 160
  • 161
  • 162
  • 163
  • 164
  • 165
  • 166
  • 167
  • 168
  • 169
  • 170
  • 171
  • 172
  • 173
  • 174
  • 175
  • 176
  • 177
  • 178
  • 179
  • 180
  • 181
  • 182
  • 183
  • 184
  • 185
  • 186
  • 187
  • 188
  • 189
  • 190
  • 191
  • 192
  • 193
  • 194
  • 195
  • 196
  • 197
  • 198
  • 199
  • 200
  • 201
  • 202
  • 203
  • 204
  • 205
  • 206
  • 207
  • 208
  • 209
  • 210
  • 211
  • 212
  • 213
  • 214
  • 215
  • 216
  • 217
  • 218
  • 219
  • 220
  • 221
  • 222
  • 223
  • 224
  • 225
  • 226
  • 227
  • 228
  • 229
  • 230

. Opportunity and risk management process
1 Identify and assess
Assess
Define measures
Analyse
Identify
5 Control
Review results
Review measures
Monitor early warning indicators
Internal
auditors
review
processes
2 Aggregate and report
Review
Supplement and change
Aggregate
Report
3 Overall strategy / risk
management / compliance
Determine
Manage
4 Operating measures
Plan
Implement
Divisions Opportunity and risk-controlling processes Board of Management Internal auditors
e most important steps in our opportunity and risk management process:
1
Identify and assess:
Opportunities and risks are dened as potential deviations from
projected earnings. Managers in all divisions and regions provide an estimate of
our opportunities and risks on a quarterly basis and document relevant actions.
ey use scenarios to assess best, expected and worst cases. Each identied risk is
assigned to one or more managers, who assess it, monitor it, specify possible pro-
cedures for going forwards and then le a report. e same applies to opportunities.
e results are compiled in a database.
. Monte Carlo simulation
Frequency of occurrence
in one million simulation steps (incidence density)
Bandwidth with   probability
– aa  m + bb  m + zz  m
Deviation from planned 
Planned  Most common value in one million simulation steps (“mode”)
“Worse than expected” “Better than expected”
Deutsche Post DHL Annual Report 
86