Alcoa 2012 Annual Report Download - page 164

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The following table presents quantitative information for Level 3 derivative contracts:
Fair value at
December 31, 2012*
Valuation
technique
Unobservable
input
Range
($ in full amounts)
Assets:
Aluminum contract $ 2 Discounted cash flow Interrelationship of
future aluminum and
oil prices
Aluminum: $2,037 per
metric ton in 2013 to
$2,542 per metric ton
in 2018
Oil: $90 to $111 per
barrel
Aluminum contract 537 Discounted cash flow Interrelationship of
future aluminum
prices, foreign
currency exchange
rates, and the U.S.
consumer price index
(CPI)
Aluminum: $2,046 per
metric ton in 2013 to
$2,400 per metric ton
in 2016
Foreign currency:
A$1 = $1.03 in 2013 to
$0.94 in 2016
CPI: 1982 base year of
100 and 232 in 2013 to
254 in 2016
Energy contracts 3 Discounted cash flow Price of electricity
beyond forward curve
$78 per megawatt hour
in 2013 to $170 per
megawatt hour in 2036
Liabilities:
Aluminum
contracts
600 Discounted cash flow Price of aluminum
beyond forward curve
$2,790 per metric ton
in 2023 to $3,002 per
metric ton in 2027
Embedded credit
derivative
30 Discounted cash flow Credit spread between
Alcoa and
counterparty
1.63% to 1.91%
(1.77% median)
* The fair value of aluminum contracts reflected as assets and liabilities in this table are both lower by $8 compared to
the respective amounts reflected in the Level 3 reconciliation presented above. This is due to the fact that Alcoa has
a contract that is in an asset position for the current portion but is in a liability position for the long-term portion, and
is reflected as such on the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheet. However, this contract is reflected as a net
liability in this table for purposes of presenting the fair value technique and assumptions utilized to measure the
contract as a whole.
153