Exxon 2009 Annual Report Download - page 20

Eric฀Whetstone฀•฀Whetstone฀Design฀Lab
office:฀214-788-6336฀•฀cell:฀
EDITOR
Tracey฀Gunnlaugsson฀•฀Investor฀Relations
Exxon฀Mobil฀Corporation,฀Irving,฀TX
office:฀972-444-1151฀•฀cell:972-849-6202
fax:฀972-444-1505
tracey[email protected]
Carol฀Zuber-Mallison฀•฀ZM฀Graphics
studio/cell:฀214-906-4162฀•฀fax:฀817-924-7784
[email protected]
Usage:฀Exclusive฀rights฀within฀ExxonMobil
(c)฀2010,฀ZM฀Graphics฀฀฀Image฀can฀not฀be฀resold
ATTENTION:฀OWNER
Data฀list฀is฀used฀to฀drive฀the฀black฀and฀
white฀chart,฀which฀is฀then฀used฀as฀a฀
template฀for฀the฀color฀chart.฀Bars฀and฀
lines฀are฀cut฀and฀pasted฀from฀the฀black฀
and฀white฀template฀and฀are฀highly฀
accurate.฀However,฀the฀color฀chart฀is฀
NOT฀linked฀to฀the฀database฀and฀is฀NOT฀
“driven”฀by฀the฀data;฀it฀is฀a฀piece฀of฀
artwork฀buiilt฀by฀a฀human.฀Therefore,฀the฀
editor฀needs฀to฀thoroughly฀proof฀the฀final฀
artwork,฀not฀JUST฀the฀data฀list.
VERSION
APPROVED฀BY
Onderdonk฀/฀Corporate
Strategic฀Planning
Feb.฀12,฀2010
FILE฀INFO
LAST฀FILE฀CHANGE฀MADE฀BY
13A฀09XOMF-
DemandByFuel.ai
Carol James Bill
IN฀F&O฀ON฀PAGE
IN฀SAR฀ON฀PAGE
Note:
S฀17฀A
Includes฀link฀file
IS฀IN
SAR฀and฀F&O
DATA฀as฀of฀02/03/2010
--Changed฀colors฀to฀match฀those฀on฀11E
--Data฀is฀that฀being฀used฀in฀this฀year’s฀Energy
Outlook฀edition.฀(Provided฀thru฀Josh฀Goldberg,
--Last฀year’s฀data฀was฀charted฀in฀millions
of฀oil-equivalent฀barrels฀per฀day.฀This
data฀is฀that฀used฀in฀this฀year’s฀Energy฀Outlook
edition฀and฀is฀in฀quadrillion฀BTUs.
Carol฀Z-M
0
100
200
300
2030
2005
Energy฀SavingsTotal฀Energy฀GrowthWind,฀Solar,฀BiofuelsHydro,฀GeoNuclearBiomassGasCoalOil
By฀Fuel฀ "2005"฀ "2030"฀ OECD฀ Non฀OECD
Oil฀ 171.1฀ 206.9฀ ฀
Coal฀ 112.3฀ 127
Gas฀ 100.4฀ 156.9
Biomass฀ 45.1฀ 51.2฀ ฀
Nuclear฀ 28.6฀ 50.9฀ ฀ ฀
Hydro,฀Geo฀ 11.8฀ 20.1
Wind,฀Solar,฀Biofuels฀ 1.5฀ 15.4
Total฀Energy฀Growth฀ ฀ 157.6฀ ฀
Energy฀Savings฀ ฀ ฀ 223.5฀ 71.7
Annual
Energy
Savings
Growth฀in฀Energy฀Demand฀by฀Energy฀Source
(quadrillion BTUs)
Annual Growth
2005–2030
Average 1.2%
300
200
100
0.5%
1.8%
0.5% 2.3%
2.2% 9.6%
Average
Growth Rate
Per Year
0.8%
Coal Gas Biomass,
Other
Nuclear Hydro,
Geo
Wind,
Solar,฀and
Biofuels
Oil 2030
OECD
Non-OECD
2005 2030
Eric฀Whetstone฀•฀Whetstone฀Design฀Lab
office:฀214-788-6336฀•฀cell:฀
EDITOR
Tracey฀Gunnlaugsson฀•฀Investor฀Relations
Exxon฀Mobil฀Corporation,฀Irving,฀TX
office:฀972-444-1151฀•฀cell:972-849-6202
fax:฀972-444-1505
tracey[email protected]
Carol฀Zuber-Mallison฀•฀ZM฀Graphics
studio/cell:฀214-906-4162฀•฀fax:฀817-924-7784
[email protected]
Usage:฀Exclusive฀rights฀within฀ExxonMobil
(c)฀2010,฀ZM฀Graphics฀฀฀Image฀can฀not฀be฀resold
ATTENTION:฀OWNER
Data฀list฀is฀used฀to฀drive฀the฀black฀and฀
white฀chart,฀which฀is฀then฀used฀as฀a฀
template฀for฀the฀color฀chart.฀Bars฀and฀
lines฀are฀cut฀and฀pasted฀from฀the฀black฀
and฀white฀template฀and฀are฀highly฀
accurate.฀However,฀the฀color฀chart฀is฀
NOT฀linked฀to฀the฀database฀and฀is฀NOT฀
“driven”฀by฀the฀data;฀it฀is฀a฀piece฀of฀
artwork฀buiilt฀by฀a฀human.฀Therefore,฀the฀
editor฀needs฀to฀thoroughly฀proof฀the฀final฀
artwork,฀not฀JUST฀the฀data฀list.
VERSION
APPROVED฀BY
Onderdonk฀/฀Corporate
Strategic฀Planning
Feb.฀18,฀2010
FILE฀INFO
LAST฀FILE฀CHANGE฀MADE฀BY
13B฀09XOMF-
CO2Emissions.ai
Carol James Bill
IN฀F&O฀ON฀PAGE
IN฀SAR฀ON฀PAGE
Note:
S฀17฀B
13฀B
Includes฀link฀file
IS฀IN
SAR฀and฀F&O
฀ "2005'฀ "2030"
1/1/80฀ 10978฀ 7634
1/1/81฀ 10670฀ 7580
1/1/82฀ 10244฀ 7764
1/1/83฀ 10181฀ 7965
1/1/84฀ 10532฀ 8216
1/1/85฀ 10629฀ 8409
1/1/86฀ 10636฀ 8742
1/1/87฀ 10889฀ 9114
1/1/88฀ 11206฀ 9482
1/1/89฀ 11397฀ 9720
1/1/90฀ 11230฀ 10104
1/1/91฀ 11243฀ 10194
1/1/92฀ 11284฀ 10043
1/1/93฀ 11372฀ 10014
1/1/95฀ 11736฀ 10380
1/1/96฀ 12110฀ 10556
1/1/97฀ 12284฀ 10584
1/1/98฀ 12297฀ 10666
1/1/99฀ 12385฀ 10723
1/1/00฀ 12635฀ 10852
1/1/01฀ 12625฀ 11026
1/1/02฀ 12632฀ 11404
1/1/03฀ 12852฀ 12286
1/1/04฀ 12998฀ 13340
1/1/05฀ 13113฀ 14087
1/1/06฀ 13059฀ 15000
1/1/07฀ 13239฀ 15678
1/1/08฀ 13076฀ 16082
1/1/09฀ 12018฀ 15692
1/1/10฀ 12030฀ 16254
1/1/12฀ 12250฀ 17202
1/1/13฀ 12254฀ 17604
1/1/16฀ 12160฀ 18587
1/1/17฀ 12100฀ 18889
1/1/18฀ 12042฀ 19186
1/1/20฀ 11893฀ 19788
1/1/30฀ 11049฀ 22795
Data฀as฀of฀10/28/2009
Data฀as฀of฀10/28/2009
฀ "2005"฀ "2030"
OECD฀ 0.4083฀ 0.2159
Non฀OECD฀ 1.5554฀ 0.7719
Data฀as฀of฀10/28/2009
Emissions฀per฀GDP
Emissions฀per฀Capita
requires฀artificial
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
1/1/30
1/1/20
1/1/101/1/091/1/081/1/071/1/061/1/051/1/041/1/031/1/021/1/011/1/001/1/901/1/80
0.0
0.5
1.0
2.0
2030
2005
--FYI:฀The฀units฀were฀tons฀in฀Energy฀Outlook
section,฀not฀tonnes.฀(It’s฀possible฀they฀were
changed฀later฀by฀designer฀but฀I฀don’t฀think฀so...)
--Data฀lifted฀from฀Energy฀Outlook฀report.
CZM
1980 2005 2030 05 30 05 30 05 30 05 30
Energy-Related฀CO2 Emissions
(billions of tonnes) (tonnes per person) (tonnes per thousand
dollars of GDP
in 2005 dollars)
40
30
20
10
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
12
10
8
6
4
2
CO2 Emissions Emissions per Capita Emissions per GDP
OECD Non-OECD
We also anticipate a shift away from coal toward less
carbon-intensive fuels including natural gas, nuclear, and
renewable fuels. By 2030, we expect that 40 percent of
the world’s electricity will be generated by nuclear and
renewable fuels.
Natural Gas to Meet a Rising Share of Energy Needs
Fossil fuels – oil, natural gas, and coal – will continue to
meet most of the world’s needs, accounting for nearly
80 percent of demand through 2030. No other energy
source can match their availability, versatility, affordability,
and scale.
Oil will still account for the largest share, but natural gas will
move into second place on very strong growth, driven by
increasing power generation needs and its ability to serve
as a reliable, affordable, and clean-burning energy source.
From 2005 to 2030, global demand for natural gas will
increase by about 55 percent.
An important supply development has been the expansion
of unconventional natural gas – the result of recent
improvements in technologies used to tap these hard-to-
produce resources. This is particularly the case in the United
States, where unconventional gas is expected to satisfy
more than 50 percent of gas demand in 2030. In addition,
worldwide demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) will
continue to grow, led by Asia and Europe.
Nuclear power will also grow significantly to help meet
rising electricity demand. Wind, solar, and biofuels will grow
most rapidly through 2030, at nearly 10 percent a year on
average; however, even then their contribution will remain
relatively small at about 2.5 percent of total energy.
One of the most important “fuels” of all is energy efficiency.
In fact, the energy saved annually through improved
efficiency will reach about twice the growth in global energy
demand from 2005 to 2030.
Growing Global Energy Demand and CO2 Emissions
The outlook for energy-related carbon dioxide (CO 2 )
emissions is linked directly to the types and amounts of
energy required globally. In our view, global CO
2 emissions
are likely to rise by about 25 percent from 2005 to 2030.
While substantial, the rate of growth will be significantly
lower than for overall energy demand.
Importantly, the outlook for CO
2 emissions varies greatly
between OECD and non-OECD countries. Non-OECD
emissions surpassed OECD emissions in 2004. By 2030,
non-OECD countries will account for two-thirds of the
global total.
This outcome reflects our view that CO
2 emissions in the
OECD have already peaked and will decline by about
15 percent by 2030, reaching a level similar to that in 1980.
This will be a noteworthy achievement considering that
OECD economic output will have tripled from 1980 to 2030
and population will have grown by about 30 percent.
Providing Integrated Solutions
The scale of our economic, energy, and environmental
challenges is huge and growing. Solutions must include
expanding supplies, improving efficiency, and mitigating
emissions. Technology and diversity of economic supplies
of energy remain important. In addition, sensible and stable
policy environments will continue to be essential to stimulate
our creative human capacity and the huge investments
necessary to address these challenges.
For our part, ExxonMobil is making enormous investments
to provide solutions to help meet future energy demand.
We are confident that by steadfastly pursuing practical,
broad-based solutions, people around the world will
make great progress in meeting economic, energy, and
environmental challenges.
EXXON฀MOBIL฀CORPORATION฀ •฀ 2009฀SUMMARY฀ANNUAL฀REPORT 17